Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 22.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Racing de Santander win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.