Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 55.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 19.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Santander would win this match.