Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 36.02%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (11.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Racing de Santander in this match.

Result
Racing de Santander	Draw	Sporting Gijon
36.02% ( 0.02)	28.2% ( -0.03)	35.79% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 47.2% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.02% (

0.12)

58.98% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.54% (

0.09)

79.46% (

-0.09)

Racing de Santander Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.78% (

0.08)

31.22% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.43% (

0.09)

67.56% (

-0.09)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.63% (

0.06)

31.37% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.26% (

0.07)

67.74% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Racing de Santander 36.02%

Sporting Gijon 35.78%

Draw 28.19%

Racing de Santander	Draw	Sporting Gijon
1-0 @ 11.4% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 36.02%	1-1 @ 13.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.19%	0-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.54% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 35.78%

Head to Head

Aug 10, 2024 6pm

Club Friendlies 3

Racing

1-1

Sporting Gijon

Celorio Garcia (84')

Queipo (90')

Mar 30, 2024 5.30pm

Gameweek 33

Sporting Gijon

2-3

Racing

Durdevic (24'), Campos (76')
Martin (32'), Pascanu (45'), Rivera (64'), Izquierdoz (67'), Queipo (71'), Gonzalez (79'), (90+5')
Izquierdoz (90+6'), (90+6')

Carlos Arana (63', 88'), Fernandez (90+11' pen.)
Hernando (13'), Garcia (26'), Sanchez (29'), Sainz-Maza (40'), Carlos Arana (89')

Oct 7, 2023 5.30pm

Gameweek 10

Racing

3-2

Sporting Gijon

Martin (28'), Fernandez (48'), Zenitagoia (83')
Alberto Lopez Menendez (38'), Vicente (39'), Grenier (41'), Sangalli (75'), Martin (90+5')

Campos (32', 63')
Mesa (37'), Villalba (86'), Mendez (90+5'), Rivera (90')

Jan 14, 2023 5.30pm

Gameweek 23

Racing

2-0