Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 36.02%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (11.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Racing de Santander in this match.