Segunda Division | Gameweek 9

Oct 14, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal El Molinon

Sporting Gijon
2 - 1
Castellon

Mendez (62'), Sanchez (87')
Gelabert (19'), Dubasin (89'), Otero (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Obinna Mamah (21')
Willems (2'), Sanchez (55')

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Sporting Gijon and Castellon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Gijon

All competitions

Last Game: Eibar 1-3 Sporting Gijon
Saturday, October 5 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Castellon

All competitions

Last Game: Eldense 2-3 Castellon
Sunday, October 6 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 25.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Castellon win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Gijon	Draw	Castellon
48.34% ( -1.58)	26.33% ( 0.43)	25.34% ( 1.16)

Both teams to score 48.23% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.42% (

-0.73)

55.58% (

0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.25% (

-0.6)

76.75% (

0.6)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.97% (

-1.01)

23.03% (

1.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.16% (

-1.51)

56.84% (

1.51)

Castellon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.65% (

0.63)

37.35% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.87% (

0.62)

74.13% (

-0.61)

Score Analysis

Sporting Gijon 48.33%

Castellon 25.34%

Draw 26.32%

Sporting Gijon	Draw	Castellon
1-0 @ 12.62% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.78% Total : 48.33%	1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.32%	0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.71% Total : 25.34%