Copa del Rey | First Round
Oct 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio El Rubial

Aguilas
0 - 1
Castellon


Alonso Pena (70'), Morillas (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Marco Suner (73')
Villahermosa (45'), Moyita (69')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Aguilas and Castellon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aguilas

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Last Game: Aguilas 0-1 Huesca
Wednesday, November 1 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
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Castellon

All competitions
Last Game: Zaragoza 1-2 Castellon
Saturday, October 26 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 47.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Aguilas had a probability of 25.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for an Aguilas win it was 1-0 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Castellon in this match.

Result
AguilasDrawCastellon
25.96%26.29%47.74%
Both teams to score 48.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.97%55.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.7%76.29%
Aguilas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.49%36.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.71%73.29%
Castellon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94%23.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.11%56.89%
Score Analysis
    Aguilas 25.96%
    Castellon 47.74%
    Draw 26.29%
AguilasDrawCastellon
1-0 @ 8.48%
2-1 @ 6.27%
2-0 @ 4.27%
3-1 @ 2.11%
3-2 @ 1.55%
3-0 @ 1.44%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 25.96%
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 8.42%
2-2 @ 4.6%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 12.34%
1-2 @ 9.13%
0-2 @ 9.06%
1-3 @ 4.47%
0-3 @ 4.43%
2-3 @ 2.25%
1-4 @ 1.64%
0-4 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 47.74%

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