Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Castellon had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Castellon win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.