Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Castellon	Draw	Mirandes
43.46% ( -0.04)	27.44% ( 0.02)	29.1% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 47.68% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.43% (

-0.06)

57.57% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.65% (

-0.05)

78.35% (

0.04)

Castellon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.72% (

-0.05)

26.27% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.61% (

-0.06)

61.39% (

0.06)

Mirandes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.67% (

-0.02)

35.32% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.92% (

-0.02)

72.08% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Castellon 43.46%

Mirandes 29.1%

Draw 27.43%

Castellon	Draw	Mirandes
1-0 @ 12.4% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 2.08% Total : 43.46%	1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.43%	0-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 29.1%