Segunda Division | Gameweek 12
Oct 26, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Anduva

Mirandes
3 - 1
Cartagena

Iruretagoiena Lertxundi (11'), Panichelli (26', 61')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Aguirregabiria (64')
Alcala (90+5')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Mirandes and Cartagena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Oviedo 4-1 Mirandes
Tuesday, October 22 at 6pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Cartagena 0-0 Elche
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 51.45%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 18.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.81%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.

Result
MirandesDrawCartagena
51.45% (-0.296 -0.3)29.59% (0.059999999999999 0.06)18.96% (0.235 0.23)
Both teams to score 34.1% (0.15499999999999 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
29.88% (0.027000000000001 0.03)70.12% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.69% (0.016 0.02)87.31% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Mirandes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.78% (-0.131 -0.13)28.22% (0.131 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.07% (-0.167 -0.17)63.93% (0.16699999999999 0.17)
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.51% (0.303 0.3)52.49% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.67% (0.192 0.19)86.32% (-0.194 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Mirandes 51.45%
    Cartagena 18.96%
    Draw 29.58%
MirandesDrawCartagena
1-0 @ 18.74% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 11.85% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 7.64% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 5% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.22% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.58% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.04% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 51.45%
0-0 @ 14.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 2.46% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 29.58%
0-1 @ 9.55% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
1-2 @ 3.89% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.08% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 18.96%

Head to Head
Feb 11, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 26
Cartagena
1-0
Mirandes
Poveda (34')
Andy (40'), Alarcon (42'), Ortiz (56'), Calero (75'), Calero (75'), Gonzalo (81')

Reina (78'), Verdasca (81'), Mendes (88')
Oct 29, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 13
Mirandes
2-1
Cartagena
Martin (72' pen.), Barcia (90+1')
Fontan (80')
Alarcon (30'), Musto (90'), Martinez (90+11')
Apr 9, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 35
Cartagena
1-0
Mirandes
Ortuno (67')
Nov 21, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
Mirandes
2-1
Cartagena
Lopez (57' pen.), Barbudo (71')
Sadiku (90+4')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 31
Mirandes
2-1
Cartagena
Camello (5'), Riquelme (65')
Camello (66'), Lopez (80'), Ander Garrido (81')
Cayarga (77')
Bodiger (66'), Boateng (69'), Delmas (71')
Boateng (90+1')
rhs 2.0


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