Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 48.53%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 23.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.