Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cordoba win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 18.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cordoba win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cordoba would win this match.