Segunda Division | Gameweek 8
Oct 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Heliodoro Rodriguez Lopez

Tenerife
2 - 0
Cartagena

Moreno (11'), Fernandez Melian (36'), Gallego (90+3')
Mellot (13'), Leon (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Munoz (55')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Tenerife and Cartagena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tenerife

All competitions
Last Game: Castellon 2-1 Tenerife
Sunday, September 29 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Cartagena

All competitions
Last Game: Racing 1-2 Cartagena
Monday, September 30 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 49.52%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 21.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.1%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.

Result
TenerifeDrawCartagena
49.52% (-0.268 -0.27)29% (0.088999999999999 0.09)21.48% (0.176 0.18)
Both teams to score 37.99% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.21% (-0.125 -0.13)66.79% (0.12299999999999 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.88% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)85.12% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Tenerife Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.46% (-0.194 -0.19)27.53% (0.192 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.95% (-0.249 -0.25)63.04% (0.246 0.25)
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.42% (0.114 0.11)47.58% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.08% (0.085000000000001 0.09)82.91% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Tenerife 49.51%
    Cartagena 21.48%
    Draw 29%
TenerifeDrawCartagena
1-0 @ 16.89% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.89% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.09% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.68% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 49.51%
0-0 @ 13.1% (0.06 0.06)
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 29%
0-1 @ 9.73% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 4.66% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.61% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.15% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 21.48%

Head to Head
May 12, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 39
Cartagena
2-0
Tenerife
Ortuno (6', 45+4' pen.)

Mellot (2'), Gallego (40'), Sanz (61')
Nov 26, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 17
Tenerife
1-1
Cartagena
Rodriguez (90+3')
Rodriguez (48'), Nacho (74'), Sanz (88')
Jansson (41')
Alarcon (57'), Munoz (81'), Hevel (90+7'), Calero (90+6')
Jan 22, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 24
Cartagena
0-1
Tenerife
Garces (4')
Oct 12, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Tenerife
0-0
Cartagena
May 29, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 42
Tenerife
1-2
Cartagena
Sipcic (64')
Sanz (11'), Mollejo (38'), Gallego (61'), Michel (70'), Ruiz (72')
Ortuno (12' pen.), Buffarini (22')
de Blasis (71')
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