Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 52.61%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 19.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.65%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.33%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Oviedo in this match.