Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 43.28%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.85%) and 1-2 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for a Cartagena win it was 1-0 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.