Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Racing Club de Ferrol win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.