Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.58%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Malaga win was 0-1 (11.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.