Copa del Rey | First Round
Oct 31, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal Francisco Munoz Perez

Union Estepona
3 - 2
Malaga

Mesa (59'), Garcia (102'), Dago (116')
Riera (19'), Jesus Carrasco Navarro (45+1'), Dago (84'), Ignacio Goma Jimenez (120+3')
FT
(aet)
Baturina (29'), Larrubia (118')
Pellicer Garcia (0'), Murillo (18'), Pastor (107')
Castel (111')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Union Estepona and Malaga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Estepona

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Malaga

All competitions
Last Game: Malaga 1-0 Eibar
Sunday, October 27 at 1pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 63.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Union Estepona had a probability of 14.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.01%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Union Estepona win it was 1-0 (5.69%).

Result
Union EsteponaDrawMalaga
14.29% (0.086 0.09)22.16% (-0.02 -0.02)63.55% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 43.14% (0.254 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.71% (0.228 0.23)53.29% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.16% (0.192 0.19)74.84% (-0.194 -0.19)
Union Estepona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.48% (0.27 0.27)48.51% (-0.273 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.39% (0.194 0.19)83.61% (-0.197 -0.2)
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.79% (0.052000000000007 0.05)16.21% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.29% (0.1 0.1)45.7% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Union Estepona 14.29%
    Malaga 63.53%
    Draw 22.16%
Union EsteponaDrawMalaga
1-0 @ 5.69% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-1 @ 3.74% (0.031 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.06% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 0.9% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 14.29%
1-1 @ 10.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.86% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-2 @ 3.41% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 22.16%
0-1 @ 14.3% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-2 @ 13.01% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 9.42% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
0-3 @ 7.9% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.71% (0.025 0.03)
0-4 @ 3.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 2.6% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.025 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.31%
1-5 @ 0.95% (0.007 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.94% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 63.53%

How you voted: Union Estepona vs Malaga

Union Estepona
8.3%
Draw
8.3%
Malaga
83.3%
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