Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
Cartagena	Draw	Almeria
29.82% ( 0.12)	26.79% ( -0.02)	43.38% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 49.93% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.13% (

0.14)

54.86% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.84% (

0.11)

76.16% (

-0.12)

Cartagena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.66% (

0.16)

33.34% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.03% (

0.17)

69.96% (

-0.18)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.91% (

0.01)

25.08% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.22% (

0.02)

59.77% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Cartagena 29.82%

Almeria 43.38%

Draw 26.78%

Cartagena	Draw	Almeria
1-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 29.82%	1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.78%	0-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.78% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.05% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 43.38%