Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 49.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 24.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Racing Club de Ferrol win it was 1-0 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.