Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 49.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 24.57%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Racing Club de Ferrol win it was 1-0 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
Racing Club de Ferrol	Draw	Almeria
24.57% ( 0.93)	25.56% ( 0.69)	49.87% ( -1.63)

Both teams to score 49.73% (

-1.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.74% (

-1.9)

53.26% (

1.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.18% (

-1.64)

74.82% (

1.63)

Racing Club de Ferrol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.25% (

-0.2)

36.74% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.46% (

-0.21)

73.53% (

0.2)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.62% (

-1.44)

21.38% (

1.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.63% (

-2.28)

54.36% (

2.27)

Score Analysis

Racing Club de Ferrol 24.57%

Almeria 49.87%

Draw 25.56%

Racing Club de Ferrol	Draw	Almeria
1-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.53) 2-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.79% Total : 24.57%	1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.57) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.56%	0-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 9.35% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.31) 0-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.21) 0-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.2) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.37% Total : 49.87%