Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barakaldo win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barakaldo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Racing Club de Ferrol win was 0-1 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.