Copa del Rey | Second Round
Dec 5, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Lasesarre

Barakaldo
1 - 2
Racing de Ferrol

Bilbao Arechaga (19')
Txoperena Elosegi (21'), de Jesus Domingo (38'), Delmas (66'), Molina (69'), Sene (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bebe (26'), Dorrio (86')
Revilla Valcarcel (19'), Garcia Santamaria (66'), Sene (90')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey Second Round clash between Barakaldo and Racing Club de Ferrol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barakaldo

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lleida 1-3 Barakaldo
Wednesday, October 30 at 7pm in Copa del Rey
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Racing Club de Ferrol

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Eldense 0-0 Racing de Ferrol
Sunday, December 1 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barakaldo win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barakaldo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Racing Club de Ferrol win was 0-1 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
BarakaldoDrawRacing Club de Ferrol
38.36% (-0.335 -0.34)28.75% (0.139 0.14)32.89% (0.202 0.2)
Both teams to score 45.34% (-0.336 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.86% (-0.435 -0.44)61.14% (0.44 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.9% (-0.325 -0.32)81.1% (0.33 0.33)
Barakaldo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.15% (-0.41799999999999 -0.42)30.85% (0.422 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.86% (-0.497 -0.5)67.14% (0.501 0.5)
Racing Club de Ferrol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.57% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)34.42% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.86% (-0.093999999999998 -0.09)71.13% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Barakaldo 38.36%
    Racing Club de Ferrol 32.89%
    Draw 28.74%
BarakaldoDrawRacing Club de Ferrol
1-0 @ 12.49% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.83% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.34% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.07% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.88% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.9% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 38.36%
1-1 @ 13.31% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 10.62% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.74%
0-1 @ 11.32% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 7.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.04% (0.069 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.15% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 32.89%

How you voted: Barakaldo vs Racing de Ferrol

Barakaldo
40.0%
Draw
40.0%
Racing Club de Ferrol
20.0%
5