Champions League
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F36%2Fzaglog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmillog_1.png)
-
Martin Baturina
19'
-
Josip Misic
31'
-
Marko Pjaca
34'
-
Marko Pjaca
60'
-
Ivan Nevistic
90'+4'
-
Christian Pulisic
26'
-
Yunus Musah
31'
-
Mike Maignan
39'
-
Yunus Musah
39'
-
Christian Pulisic
53'
-
Sergio Conceicao
86'
Dinamo Zagreb vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F47%2Fchristian-pulisic-rafael-leao.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result
Dinamo Zagreb
33.97%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
25.07%
▲
(+0.01)
AC Milan
40.96%
▲
(+0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
57.06%
▼
(-0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.63%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
46.37%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
31.35%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
68.65%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 4.5
15.61%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
84.39%
▲
(+0.02)
Dinamo Zagreb Goals
Over 0.5
73.68%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
26.32%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
38.54%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
61.46%
▲
(+0.03)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5
77.45%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
22.55%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
43.87%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
56.13%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Dinamo Zagreb
33.97%
Draw
25.07%
AC Milan
40.96%
Dinamo Zagreb
1-0
@
7.92%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.88% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 33.97%
2-1 @ 7.88% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 33.97%
Draw
1-1
@
11.8%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.07%
0-0 @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.07%
AC Milan
0-1
@
8.84%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.79% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.58% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.36%
0-3 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.63%
0-4 @ 1.22%
2-4 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 40.96%
1-2 @ 8.79% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.58% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.36%
0-3 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.63%
0-4 @ 1.22%
2-4 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 40.96%
Head to Head
Champions League
-
Matteo Gabbia
39'
-
Rafael Leao
49'
-
Olivier Giroud
59'
-
Robert Ljubicic
69'
(OG)
Champions League
-
Olivier Giroud
45'
-
Alexis Saelemaekers
47'
-
Tommaso Pobega
77'
-
Mislav Orsic
56'