Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 56.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 19.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.