Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 56.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 19.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 0-1 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.