Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 12
Nov 3, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadion Aldo Drosina

Istra 1961
0 - 1
Rijeka


Kadusic (26'), Lawal (40'), Valincic (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fruk (76')
Rukavina (17'), Smolcic (29'), Jankovic (35'), Devetak (45'), Pasalic (54'), Butic (90+1')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Istra 1961 and HNK Rijeka.

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Istra 1961

All competitions
Last Game: Gorica 1-0 Istra 1961
Sunday, October 27 at 5.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL

HNK Rijeka

All competitions
Last Game: Rijeka 1-1 Varazdin
Saturday, October 26 at 5.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 65.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 12.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.86%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 1-0 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for HNK Rijeka in this match.

Result
NK Istra 1961DrawHNK Rijeka
12.75% (0.02 0.02)21.66% (0.399 0.4)65.6% (-0.416 -0.42)
Both teams to score 40.74% (-1.011 -1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.67% (-1.425 -1.43)54.33% (1.429 1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.29% (-1.199 -1.2)75.72% (1.204 1.2)
NK Istra 1961 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.43% (-0.84 -0.84)51.57% (0.843 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.28% (-0.564 -0.56)85.72% (0.568 0.57)
HNK Rijeka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.12% (-0.613 -0.61)15.89% (0.616 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.89% (-1.144 -1.14)45.11% (1.147 1.15)
Score Analysis
    NK Istra 1961 12.75%
    HNK Rijeka 65.59%
    Draw 21.66%
NK Istra 1961DrawHNK Rijeka
1-0 @ 5.43% (0.168 0.17)
2-1 @ 3.31% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-0 @ 1.8% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 12.75%
1-1 @ 9.98% (0.102 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.19% (0.446 0.45)
2-2 @ 3.04% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.66%
0-1 @ 15.07% (0.52 0.52)
0-2 @ 13.86% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 9.18% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-3 @ 8.5% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
1-3 @ 5.63% (-0.185 -0.19)
0-4 @ 3.91% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-4 @ 2.59% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-5 @ 1.44% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-5 @ 0.95% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 65.59%

Head to Head
Aug 18, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 3
Rijeka
4-0
Istra 1961
Rukavina (18'), Pasalic (24'), Ivanovic (27', 66')

Iovu (15'), Lekweiry (45+2'), Maresic (47'), Majkic (52'), Paul Keller (68'), Cuic (90+3')
Apr 14, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 30
Istra 1961
0-2
Rijeka

Tramezzani (36'), Blagojevic (50'), Majkic (90+7')
Fruk (30'), Goda (84')
Selahi (35'), Pjaca (52')
Feb 4, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 21
Rijeka
3-0
Istra 1961
Hodza (10'), Jankovic (34' pen.), Maric (74')
Bogojevic (17'), Selahi (40')

Erceg (23'), Majkic (23')
Mauric (45')
Oct 22, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 12
Istra 1961
1-1
Rijeka
Mlinar (48')
Hujber (19'), Maresic (39'), Mlinar (90'), Douglas (90+7')
Jankovic (21')
Fruk (74')
Aug 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 3
Rijeka
6-0
Istra 1961
Ivanovic (34'), Selahi (44'), Pasalic (45+1'), Goda (58'), Majstorovic (61' og.), Grgic (81')
Smolcic (60')

Nebyla (45+1'), Calusic (46'), Petrusenko (46')