Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Gorica had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Gorica win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for HNK Rijeka in this match.