Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.