Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 4
Aug 25, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Mewa Arena

Osijek
0 - 2
Rijeka

FT(HT: 0-1)
Radeljic (13'), Pasalic (60')
Petrovic (26')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Osijek and HNK Rijeka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gorica 2-2 Osijek
Sunday, August 18 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 1-1 Ljubljana
Thursday, August 22 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
OsijekDrawHNK Rijeka
39.36% (-0.245 -0.24)26.93% (0.194 0.19)33.7% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 50.85% (-0.597 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.68% (-0.766 -0.77)54.32% (0.766 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.29% (-0.643 -0.64)75.71% (0.642 0.64)
Osijek Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.03% (-0.49299999999999 -0.49)26.96% (0.492 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.69% (-0.649 -0.65)62.31% (0.649 0.65)
HNK Rijeka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.63% (-0.34700000000001 -0.35)30.37% (0.348 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.44% (-0.419 -0.42)66.56% (0.41900000000001 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Osijek 39.36%
    HNK Rijeka 33.7%
    Draw 26.93%
OsijekDrawHNK Rijeka
1-0 @ 10.73% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.03% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.07% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 39.36%
1-1 @ 12.79% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 8.19% (0.241 0.24)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.93%
0-1 @ 9.76% (0.197 0.2)
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.82% (0.062 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.9% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 33.7%

Head to Head
May 19, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 35
Osijek
2-0
Rijeka
Jurisic (5'), Matkovic (72')
Omerovic (57'), Bralic (81')

Cabraja (21'), Banda (68'), Prekodravac (81'), Fruk (83'), Dilaver (84')
Mar 10, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 26
Rijeka
3-0
Osijek
Hodza (21', 23', 62')
Veiga (59')

Cokaj (36'), Pusic (54')
Dec 2, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 17
Osijek
0-0
Rijeka
Zekic (28'), Bralic (29'), Mierez (87')
Smolcic (27'), Pasalic (64'), Jankovic (68'), Dilaver (90+3'), Obregon (90+5')
Sep 16, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 8
Rijeka
2-1
Osijek
Pjaca (47', 55')
Selahi (45+1')
Pusic (85')
Manev (31'), Pusic (45+1'), Harmash (67'), Lovric (69'), Zivkovic (90+5'), Harmash (90+5')