Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 36

May 25, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stadion Andelko Herjavec

Varazdin
0 - 2
Osijek

Nekic (32'), Ba (57')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mierez (65'), Bukvic (69')
Smoje (33'), Fucak (90+1')

Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Varazdin and Osijek.

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Varazdin

All competitions

Last Game: Istra 1961 2-0 Varazdin
Friday, May 17 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Goals
for

Osijek

All competitions

Last Game: Osijek 2-0 Rijeka
Sunday, May 19 at 6.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest NK Varazdin win was 1-0 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osijek would win this match.

Result
NK Varazdin	Draw	Osijek
24.63% ( -0.1)	23.58% ( -0.03)	51.79% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 56% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.99% (

0.03)

45.01% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.64% (

0.02)

67.36% (

-0.02)

NK Varazdin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.8% (

-0.07)

32.2% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.31% (

-0.08)

68.69% (

0.08)

Osijek Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.6% (

0.06)

17.4% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.17% (

0.1)

47.82% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

NK Varazdin 24.63%

Osijek 51.79%

Draw 23.58%

NK Varazdin	Draw	Osijek
1-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 24.63%	1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.58%	0-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.71% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.66% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.99% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 3.8% Total : 51.79%