Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 1
Aug 4, 2024 at 5.50pm UK
Stadion HNK Rijeka

Rijeka
4 - 0
NK Lokomotiva

Fruk (13'), Ivanovic (28'), Hodza (70'), Butic (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mersinaj (51'), Smakaj (64'), Zivkovic (68'), Leovac (70')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between HNK Rijeka and NK Lokomotiva.

Form, Standings, Stats

HNK Rijeka

All competitions
Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 1-0 Corvinul Hunedoara
Thursday, August 1 at 7pm in Europa League

NK Lokomotiva

All competitions
Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Luhansk 1-1 NK Lokomotiva
Friday, July 19 at 4.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 59.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for NK Lokomotiva had a probability of 18.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a NK Lokomotiva win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.

Result
HNK RijekaDrawNK Lokomotiva
59.54% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)22.09% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)18.37% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 51.81% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.79% (0.070999999999998 0.07)46.2% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.5% (0.068000000000001 0.07)68.49% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)
HNK Rijeka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.86% (0.022999999999996 0.02)15.13% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.29% (0.048999999999999 0.05)43.7% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
NK Lokomotiva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.04% (0.045999999999999 0.05)38.95% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.32% (0.047000000000001 0.05)75.67% (-0.050999999999988 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    HNK Rijeka 59.52%
    NK Lokomotiva 18.37%
    Draw 22.09%
HNK RijekaDrawNK Lokomotiva
1-0 @ 11.12% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.62% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.24% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.12% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.95% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.18% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 59.52%
1-1 @ 10.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.89% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.67% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.09%
0-1 @ 5.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 2.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 18.37%

Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 32
NK Lokomotiva
3-1
Rijeka
Mudrazija (37'), Soticek (43', 90+6')
Bubanja (21'), Mudrazija (34')
Obregon (67')
Radeljic (36'), Smolcic (69'), Jankovic (71')
Feb 17, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 23
Rijeka
4-0
NK Lokomotiva
Bogojevic (9', 31'), Hodza (85'), Grgic (90+1')
Galesic (27'), Smolcic (70')

Cop (48'), Maric (54'), Canjuga (80'), Canjuga (81')
Nov 3, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 14
NK Lokomotiva
1-1
Rijeka
Tuci (27')
Mersinaj (54'), Maric (57'), Leovac (60')
Fruk (43')
Hodza (29'), Sopic (30')
Aug 20, 2023 8.05pm
Gameweek 5
Rijeka
2-1
NK Lokomotiva
Pasalic (38'), Djouahra (78')
Jakirovic (29'), Radeljic (41'), Lepinjica (57')
Bubanja (6')
Maric (28'), Mersinaj (68'), Gorican (80')