Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 1
Aug 4, 2024 at 8pm UK
Mewa Arena

Osijek
1 - 2
Sibenik

Soldo (55')
Jugovic (24')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bozic (8'), Agyemang (61')
Kolega (17'), Gacic (90+4'), Dakovic (90+4')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Osijek and Sibenik.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Levadia 0-1 Osijek
Thursday, August 1 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sibenik 3-1 GOSK Gabela
Saturday, July 27 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Sibenik had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Sibenik win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
OsijekDrawSibenik
45.74% (-0.816 -0.82)25.85% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)28.41% (0.828 0.83)
Both teams to score 51.99% (0.589 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.17% (0.499 0.5)51.83% (-0.493 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.41% (0.43 0.43)73.59% (-0.425 -0.42)
Osijek Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.38% (-0.163 -0.16)22.62% (0.168 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.76% (-0.246 -0.25)56.24% (0.252 0.25)
Sibenik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.18% (0.905 0.91)32.81% (-0.901 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.62% (0.995 1)69.38% (-0.98999999999999 -0.99)
Score Analysis
    Osijek 45.74%
    Sibenik 28.41%
    Draw 25.84%
OsijekDrawSibenik
1-0 @ 11.03% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.2% (-0.246 -0.25)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.06% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 45.74%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 7.42% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.098 0.1)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 8.27% (0.041 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.85% (0.166 0.17)
0-2 @ 4.61% (0.134 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.122 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.082 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 28.41%