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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 7pm UK
Mewa Arena

Osijek
5 - 1
Levadia

Mierez (9', 18', 27'), Guedes (34'), Bukvic (68')
Mkrtchyan (29')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Jakovlev (7')
Pedro de Moura Siembarski (6')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Osijek and Levadia Tallinn.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osijek

All competitions
Last Game: Dunajska Streda 3-2 Osijek
Thursday, July 18 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3

Levadia Tallinn

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Levadia 0-0 FA Siauliai
Thursday, July 18 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Dinamo Zagreb0nan
2Gorica0nan
3Rijeka0nan
4Hajduk Split0nan
5Istra 19610nan
6NK Lokomotiva0nan
7Varazdin0nan
8Osijek0nan
9Sibenik0nan
10Slaven Koprivnica0nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Levadia Tallinn win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Osijek had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Levadia Tallinn win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Osijek win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
OsijekDrawLevadia Tallinn
35.87% (0.188 0.19)25.05% (0.00099999999999767 0)39.07% (-0.193 -0.19)
Both teams to score 57.48% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.02% (0.020000000000003 0.02)45.98% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.71% (0.021000000000001 0.02)68.29% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Osijek Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.96% (0.117 0.12)25.03% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.29% (0.162 0.16)59.7% (-0.167 -0.17)
Levadia Tallinn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.67% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)23.32% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.72% (-0.129 -0.13)57.27% (0.125 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Osijek 35.87%
    Levadia Tallinn 39.07%
    Draw 25.05%
OsijekDrawLevadia Tallinn
2-1 @ 8.15% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.09% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.6% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.76% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.59% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.87%
1-1 @ 11.77%
2-2 @ 5.93% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 5.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.05%
1-2 @ 8.57% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.5% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.19% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.16% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 39.07%