Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2024 at 4pm UK
SiauliĊ³ m. savivaldybes stadionas

FA Siauliai
0 - 2
Levadia


Dapkus (69'), Ikaunieks (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Musaba (7'), Felicio Silva Reis (23')
Mavretic (40'), Peetson (90+3')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between FA Siauliai and Levadia Tallinn.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Levadia 1-2 Zilina
Thursday, July 20 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Levadia Tallinn win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for FA Siauliai had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Levadia Tallinn win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest FA Siauliai win was 1-0 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Levadia Tallinn would win this match.

Result
FA SiauliaiDrawLevadia Tallinn
25.48% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)24.53% (-0.029 -0.03)49.99% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 53.76% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.61% (0.098999999999997 0.1)48.39% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.48% (0.088999999999999 0.09)70.53% (-0.089999999999989 -0.09)
FA Siauliai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.69% (0.025000000000006 0.03)33.32% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.07% (0.029 0.03)69.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Levadia Tallinn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.62% (0.063999999999993 0.06)19.38% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.82% (0.104 0.1)51.18% (-0.105 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    FA Siauliai 25.48%
    Levadia Tallinn 49.98%
    Draw 24.53%
FA SiauliaiDrawLevadia Tallinn
1-0 @ 7.1% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.4% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 3.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.35%
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.43% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 25.48%
1-1 @ 11.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.53%
0-1 @ 10.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.69%
1-3 @ 5.23% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.14% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.95% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 49.98%

rhs 2.0


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