Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Levadia Tallinn win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for FA Siauliai had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Levadia Tallinn win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest FA Siauliai win was 1-0 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Levadia Tallinn would win this match.