Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 3
Aug 18, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadion HNK Rijeka

Rijeka
4 - 0
Istra 1961

Rukavina (18'), Pasalic (24'), Ivanovic (27', 66')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Iovu (15'), Lekweiry (45+2'), Maresic (47'), Majkic (52'), Paul Keller (68'), Cuic (90+3')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between HNK Rijeka and NK Istra 1961.

Form, Standings, Stats

HNK Rijeka

All competitions
Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Elfsborg 2-0 Rijeka
Thursday, August 15 at 6pm in Europa League

NK Istra 1961

All competitions
Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 2-1 Gorica
Saturday, August 10 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 68.89%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 12.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 0-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.

Result
HNK RijekaDrawNK Istra 1961
68.89% (1.035 1.04)18.87% (-0.426 -0.43)12.24% (-0.602 -0.6)
Both teams to score 47.54% (-0.409 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.76% (0.43 0.43)44.24% (-0.42299999999999 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.39% (0.415 0.41)66.62% (-0.408 -0.41)
HNK Rijeka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.26% (0.411 0.41)11.74% (-0.404 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.11% (0.867 0.87)36.9% (-0.861 -0.86)
NK Istra 1961 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.86% (-0.713 -0.71)46.14% (0.721 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.17% (-0.557 -0.56)81.83% (0.566 0.57)
Score Analysis
    HNK Rijeka 68.88%
    NK Istra 1961 12.24%
    Draw 18.87%
HNK RijekaDrawNK Istra 1961
2-0 @ 12.42% (0.16 0.16)
1-0 @ 11.6% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 8.87% (0.26 0.26)
3-1 @ 6.86% (0.066 0.07)
4-0 @ 4.75% (0.213 0.21)
4-1 @ 3.68% (0.094 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 2.04% (0.122 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.58% (0.065 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 68.88%
1-1 @ 8.98% (-0.203 -0.2)
0-0 @ 5.42% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 3.72% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 18.87%
0-1 @ 4.19% (-0.164 -0.16)
1-2 @ 3.47% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-2 @ 1.62% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-3 @ 0.96% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 2%
Total : 12.24%

Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 30
Istra 1961
0-2
Rijeka

Tramezzani (36'), Blagojevic (50'), Majkic (90+7')
Fruk (30'), Goda (84')
Selahi (35'), Pjaca (52')
Feb 4, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 21
Rijeka
3-0
Istra 1961
Hodza (10'), Jankovic (34' pen.), Maric (74')
Bogojevic (17'), Selahi (40')

Erceg (23'), Majkic (23')
Mauric (45')
Oct 22, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 12
Istra 1961
1-1
Rijeka
Mlinar (48')
Hujber (19'), Maresic (39'), Mlinar (90'), Douglas (90+7')
Jankovic (21')
Fruk (74')
Aug 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 3
Rijeka
6-0
Istra 1961
Ivanovic (34'), Selahi (44'), Pasalic (45+1'), Goda (58'), Majstorovic (61' og.), Grgic (81')
Smolcic (60')

Nebyla (45+1'), Calusic (46'), Petrusenko (46')