Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.

Result
Elfsborg	Draw	HNK Rijeka
52.01% ( 0.01)	23.64% ( -0)	24.35% ( -0)

Both teams to score 55.48% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.43% (

0.01)

45.57% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.11% (

0.01)

67.89% (

-0.01)

Elfsborg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.48% (

0.01)

17.52% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.96% (

0.01)

48.04% (

-0.01)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.26% (

32.74% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.71% (

69.29% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Elfsborg 52.01%

HNK Rijeka 24.35%

Draw 23.64%

Elfsborg	Draw	HNK Rijeka
1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.7% 3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.73% Total : 52.01%	1-1 @ 11.15% 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.64%	0-1 @ 6.41% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.23% 0-2 @ 3.58% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.47% Total : 24.35%