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Europa League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stadionul Satesc Vasieni

Sheriff Tiraspol
0 - 1
Elfsborg


Ademo (38'), Mija (73'), Badolo (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hedlund (86' pen.)
Hult (69'), Hedlund (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sheriff Tiraspol and Elfsborg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sheriff Tiraspol

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Last Game: Zira FK 1-2 Sheriff Tiraspol (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, July 18 at 5pm in Europa League
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Elfsborg

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Elfsborg 3-1 Mjallby AIF
Sunday, July 21 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 54.31%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.

Result
Sheriff TiraspolDrawElfsborg
54.31% (0.056000000000004 0.06)22.28% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)23.41% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 59.01% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.62% (0.047999999999995 0.05)40.37% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.25% (0.048999999999999 0.05)62.75% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Sheriff Tiraspol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.15% (0.034000000000006 0.03)14.85% (-0.036 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.82% (0.067999999999998 0.07)43.17% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.3% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)30.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)66.95% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Sheriff Tiraspol 54.31%
    Elfsborg 23.41%
    Draw 22.27%
Sheriff TiraspolDrawElfsborg
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.69% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.29% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 6.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.27% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.97% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.75% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 54.31%
1-1 @ 10.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.27%
1-2 @ 6.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.28%
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 23.41%

How you voted: Sheriff Tiraspol vs Elfsborg

Sheriff Tiraspol
24.4%
Draw
16.7%
Elfsborg
59.0%
78