Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 15
Jul 21, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Boras Arena

Elfsborg
3 - 1
Mjallby AIF

Abdulai (1', 42'), Holmen (51')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Stroud (27')
Stahl (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Elfsborg and Mjallby AIF, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elfsborg

All competitions
Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Pafos 2-5 Elfsborg
Thursday, July 18 at 5pm in Europa League

Mjallby AIF

All competitions
Last Game: Mjallby AIF 2-1 Malmo
Saturday, July 13 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Mjallby AIF had a probability of 21.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Mjallby AIF win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.

Result
ElfsborgDrawMjallby AIF
55.64% (0.375 0.38)23.14% (-0.172 -0.17)21.21% (-0.206 -0.21)
Both teams to score 53.1% (0.258 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.2% (0.485 0.48)46.8% (-0.486 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.94% (0.451 0.45)69.06% (-0.45399999999999 -0.45)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.34% (0.30699999999999 0.31)16.65% (-0.309 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.49% (0.55 0.55)46.51% (-0.55 -0.55)
Mjallby AIF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.71% (0.073 0.07)36.29% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.93% (0.073 0.07)73.07% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Elfsborg 55.64%
    Mjallby AIF 21.21%
    Draw 23.14%
ElfsborgDrawMjallby AIF
1-0 @ 10.83% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.71% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 5.88% (0.073 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.8% (0.061 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.64% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.6% (0.053 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.033 0.03)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.031 0.03)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 55.64%
1-1 @ 10.98% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.04% (-0.124 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.022 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.14%
0-1 @ 6.13% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-2 @ 5.57% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.11% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 21.21%

How you voted: Elfsborg vs Mjallby AIF

Elfsborg
73.1%
Draw
11.5%
Mjallby AIF
15.4%
26
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 20
Elfsborg
2-0
Mjallby AIF
Aron Gudjohnsen (37'), Baidoo (40')
Apr 29, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 5
Mjallby AIF
0-1
Elfsborg
Lagerbielke (74')
Aug 7, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 17
Mjallby AIF
1-1
Elfsborg
Nwankwo (5')
Kricak (36'), Stahl (90+1')
Baidoo (90+4')
Strand (9')
Apr 4, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 1
Elfsborg
0-2
Mjallby AIF

Soderberg (39'), Lagerbielke (81'), Frick (86')
Moro (55'), Lofquist (66')
Lofquist (71'), Tokich (77'), Gracia (86')
Sep 26, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 21
Mjallby AIF
4-0
Elfsborg
Johnson (12'), Bergstrom (48'), Nilsson (78'), Hodzic (81' pen.)
Kricak (86')

Ronning (11'), McVey (32')
Ronning (79')
rhs 2.0


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