Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Mjallby AIF had a probability of 21.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Mjallby AIF win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.