Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 72.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Zira FK had a probability of 8.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.62%) and 3-0 (10.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.73%), while for a Zira FK win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.