Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Sheriff Tiraspol win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Elfsborg in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Elfsborg.

Result
Elfsborg	Draw	Sheriff Tiraspol
48.65% ( -0.08)	23.37% ( 0.01)	27.97% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 59.86% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.67% (

41.33% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.27% (

63.72% (

-0)

Elfsborg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.81% (

-0.03)

17.19% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.54% (

-0.05)

47.45% (

0.05)

Sheriff Tiraspol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.29% (

0.05)

27.71% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.73% (

0.06)

63.27% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Elfsborg 48.65%

Sheriff Tiraspol 27.97%

Draw 23.37%

Elfsborg	Draw	Sheriff Tiraspol
2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 4.01% Total : 48.65%	1-1 @ 10.76% 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.76% 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.37%	1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 27.97%