Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 18
Aug 11, 2024 at 3pm UK
Boras Arena

Elfsborg
2 - 1
GAIS

Baidoo (8'), Cardaklija (30' og.)
Qasem (63')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ahl-Holmstrom (14')
Ibrahim (84')
Sims (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Elfsborg and GAIS, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rijeka 1-1 Elfsborg
Thursday, August 8 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: GAIS 0-1 Norrkoping
Saturday, August 3 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 59.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for GAIS had a probability of 19.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 1-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a GAIS win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Elfsborg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Elfsborg.

Result
ElfsborgDrawGAIS
59.36% (0.497 0.5)21.11% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)19.53% (-0.457 -0.46)
Both teams to score 57.25% (-0.65900000000001 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.98% (-0.502 -0.5)40.02% (0.505 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.61% (-0.523 -0.52)62.38% (0.523 0.52)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.84% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)13.16% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.15% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)39.84% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
GAIS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.92% (-0.75 -0.75)34.08% (0.751 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.23% (-0.816 -0.82)70.76% (0.818 0.82)
Score Analysis
    Elfsborg 59.36%
    GAIS 19.53%
    Draw 21.11%
ElfsborgDrawGAIS
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.22% (0.204 0.2)
1-0 @ 9.09% (0.205 0.21)
3-1 @ 6.71% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.23% (0.134 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.16% (0.066 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.83% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.38%
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 59.36%
1-1 @ 9.79% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.48% (0.104 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.11%
1-2 @ 5.27% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-1 @ 4.83% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.6% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 19.53%

How you voted: Elfsborg vs GAIS

Elfsborg
89.5%
Draw
5.3%
GAIS
5.3%
19
Head to Head
May 19, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 10
GAIS
2-1
Elfsborg
Henriksson (4', 18')
Baidoo (40')
Holmen (66')
rhs 2.0


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