Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 51.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 1-0 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.