Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 7
Sep 20, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadion Andelko Herjavec

Varazdin
1 - 0
Istra 1961

Belcar (78')
Nekic (3'), Safaric (4'), Borsic (77'), Poldrugac (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kadusic (33'), Calusic (90+1')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Varazdin and NK Istra 1961.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sibenik 0-0 Varazdin
Sunday, September 15 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-2 NK Lokomotiva
Saturday, September 14 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Varazdin win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Varazdin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest NK Istra 1961 win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for NK Varazdin in this match.

Result
NK VarazdinDrawNK Istra 1961
42.19% (0.00099999999999767 0)27.63%30.18% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 47.64% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.13% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)57.87% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.41% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)78.59% (0.0010000000000048 0)
NK Varazdin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.92%27.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.54%62.46%
NK Istra 1961 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.33%34.67% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.61% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)71.39%
Score Analysis
    NK Varazdin 42.19%
    NK Istra 1961 30.18%
    Draw 27.63%
NK VarazdinDrawNK Istra 1961
1-0 @ 12.26%
2-1 @ 8.49%
2-0 @ 8.01% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.7%
3-0 @ 3.49%
3-2 @ 1.96%
4-1 @ 1.21%
4-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 42.19%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 9.39%
2-2 @ 4.5%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 9.95%
1-2 @ 6.88%
0-2 @ 5.27%
1-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 30.18%

Head to Head
May 17, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 35
Istra 1961
2-0
Varazdin
Lisica (47'), Jaganjac (62')
Maresic (54'), Cuic (69'), Blagojevic (90+1')

Marina (40'), Safaric (40'), Nekic (76')
Mar 8, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 26
Varazdin
2-2
Istra 1961
Mitrovski (16'), Dabro (30')
Mitrovski (41'), Poldrugac (90+3')
Valincic (43'), Vuk (83' pen.)
Hujber (30'), Maresic (77')
Dec 1, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 17
Istra 1961
2-0
Varazdin
Matheus (45+4'), Vuk (66')
Matheus (19')

Marina (15'), Postonjski (38'), Banovec (42')
Sep 17, 2023 6.15pm
Gameweek 8
Varazdin
1-0
Istra 1961
Postonjski (74' pen.)
Jelenic (1'), Postonjski (90+6')

Catala (2'), Josipovic (20'), Maresic (44'), Blagojevic (53')