Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sibenik win with a probability of 58.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 17.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sibenik win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a NK Varazdin win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.