Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 5
Sep 1, 2024 at 5.15pm UK
Stadion Kranjceviceva

NK Lokomotiva
0 - 1
Varazdin


Smakaj (17'), Belcar (84'), Fetai (89'), Vranjkovic (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mitrovski (51' pen.)
Borsic (26'), Cop (85')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Lokomotiva and NK Varazdin.

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Lokomotiva

All competitions
Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 0-1 Sibenik
Friday, August 23 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL

NK Varazdin

All competitions
Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 2-0 Slaven Koprivnica
Saturday, August 24 at 5.15pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Lokomotiva win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Lokomotiva win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest NK Varazdin win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
NK LokomotivaDrawNK Varazdin
46.13% (0.155 0.16)25.47% (0.039999999999999 0.04)28.38% (-0.205 -0.2)
Both teams to score 53.13% (-0.271 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.66% (-0.292 -0.29)50.33% (0.28400000000001 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.72% (-0.259 -0.26)72.27% (0.251 0.25)
NK Lokomotiva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.19% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)21.81% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.97% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)55.02% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
NK Varazdin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.94% (-0.306 -0.31)32.05% (0.297 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.47% (-0.348 -0.35)68.52% (0.33799999999999 0.34)
Score Analysis
    NK Lokomotiva 46.13%
    NK Varazdin 28.38%
    Draw 25.47%
NK LokomotivaDrawNK Varazdin
1-0 @ 10.64% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.11% (0.07 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.11% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.57% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 46.13%
1-1 @ 12.11% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.99% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 7.95% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.89% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.53% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 28.38%

Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 3.50pm
Gameweek 30
Varazdin
0-2
NK Lokomotiva

Postonjski (45+1')
Gorican (43'), Sego (49' og.)
Mudrazija (32'), Cop (84')
Feb 2, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 21
NK Lokomotiva
0-0
Varazdin
Smakaj (89')
Lusavec (32'), Vukcevic (54'), Marina (75'), Levanic (77'), Drozdek (84')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Varazdin
0-0
NK Lokomotiva
Borsic (12'), Nekic (42'), Postonjski (71'), Banovec (90+1'), Banovec (90+1')
Bubanja (43'), Leovac (74'), Fetai (76'), Feta (76'), Bartolec (85')
Aug 4, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 3
NK Lokomotiva
3-3
Varazdin
Kalaica (59'), Stojkovic (71', 79' pen.)
Vranjkovic (89'), Feta (90+2'), Fetai (90+2')
Mitrovski (19'), Brodic (22', 65')
Brodic (41'), Sego (63')