Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Varazdin win with a probability of 36.5%. A win for Slaven Koprivnica had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Varazdin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Slaven Koprivnica win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Varazdin would win this match.