Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 69.29%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Slaven Koprivnica had a probability of 12.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Slaven Koprivnica win it was 0-1 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hajduk Split would win this match.