Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 75.45%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 8.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.62%) and 3-0 (10.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.6%), while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hajduk Split would win this match.