Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 35
May 19, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stadion Poljud

Hajduk Split
2 - 1
Gorica

Trajkovski (30'), Stiglec (64')
Trajkovski (60')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rukavina (23')
Maloca (87')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Hajduk Split and Gorica.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hajduk Split

All competitions
Last Game: Istra 1961 1-1 Hajduk Split
Sunday, May 12 at 6.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Gorica

All competitions
Last Game: Gorica 2-1 Rudes
Friday, May 10 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 75.45%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 8.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.62%) and 3-0 (10.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.6%), while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hajduk Split would win this match.

Result
Hajduk SplitDrawGorica
75.45% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)16.01% (0.021999999999998 0.02)8.54% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 43.43% (0.164 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.87% (0.079999999999998 0.08)42.13% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.47% (0.082000000000001 0.08)64.53% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Hajduk Split Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.51%9.49% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.98% (0.18 0.18)52.01% (-0.181 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.98% (0.118 0.12)86.01% (-0.11999999999999 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Hajduk Split 75.44%
    Gorica 8.54%
    Draw 16.01%
Hajduk SplitDrawGorica
2-0 @ 13.68% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 11.62% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 10.74% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.02% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 6.33% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.14% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.95% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 75.44%
1-1 @ 7.6% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.94% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.92% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 16.01%
0-1 @ 3.23% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 2.48% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.05% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 8.54%

Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 4.10pm
Gameweek 26
Gorica
0-3
Hajduk Split

Prsir (3'), Jelicic (4'), Lazarov (45+2'), Lazarov (45+1'), Munksgaard (52')
Livaja (22'), Benrahou (31'), Pukstas (41')
Dec 2, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 17
Hajduk Split
3-0
Gorica
Dajaku (20'), Zaper (64'), Sahiti (69')
Sep 17, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 8
Gorica
2-1
Hajduk Split
Stiglec (86'), Matej Juric (90+2')
Prsir (64'), Raspopovic (74')
Sarlija (62')
Sarlija (78')