Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 46.55%. A win for NK Lokomotiva had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest NK Lokomotiva win was 1-0 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Osijek in this match.