Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sibenik win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 18.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sibenik win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.