Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 10
Oct 18, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadion Kranjceviceva

NK Lokomotiva
2 - 2
Rijeka

Karacic (26'), Cop (67' pen.)
Smakaj (13'), Vranjkovic (55'), Mersinaj (55'), Radeljic (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Radeljic (23'), Smolcic (90')
Sopic (14'), Selahi (42'), Dalovic (88')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Lokomotiva and HNK Rijeka.

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Lokomotiva

All competitions
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 2-0 Gorica
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Croatian 1. HNL

HNK Rijeka

All competitions
Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 0-0 Rijeka
Saturday, October 5 at 5.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for NK Lokomotiva had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest NK Lokomotiva win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
NK LokomotivaDrawHNK Rijeka
27.7% (0.212 0.21)26.47% (-0.402 -0.4)45.83% (0.193 0.19)
Both teams to score 49.64% (1.313 1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.36% (1.625 1.63)54.64% (-1.624 -1.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.03% (1.333 1.33)75.97% (-1.332 -1.33)
NK Lokomotiva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.14% (1.043 1.04)34.86% (-1.044 -1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.4% (1.086 1.09)71.6% (-1.085 -1.09)
HNK Rijeka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.21% (0.807 0.81)23.79% (-0.806 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.05% (1.144 1.14)57.94% (-1.143 -1.14)
Score Analysis
    NK Lokomotiva 27.7%
    HNK Rijeka 45.83%
    Draw 26.46%
NK LokomotivaDrawHNK Rijeka
1-0 @ 8.74% (-0.306 -0.31)
2-1 @ 6.61% (0.114 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.6% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.32% (0.104 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.112 0.11)
3-0 @ 1.62% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 27.7%
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 8.29% (-0.538 -0.54)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.191 0.19)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 11.9% (-0.48 -0.48)
1-2 @ 9.01% (0.112 0.11)
0-2 @ 8.55% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.152 0.15)
0-3 @ 4.09% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.27% (0.142 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.55% (0.089 0.09)
0-4 @ 1.47% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 45.83%

Head to Head
Aug 4, 2024 5.50pm
Gameweek 1
Rijeka
4-0
NK Lokomotiva
Fruk (13'), Ivanovic (28'), Hodza (70'), Butic (83')

Mersinaj (51'), Smakaj (64'), Zivkovic (68'), Leovac (70')
Apr 28, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 32
NK Lokomotiva
3-1
Rijeka
Mudrazija (37'), Soticek (43', 90+6')
Bubanja (21'), Mudrazija (34')
Obregon (67')
Radeljic (36'), Smolcic (69'), Jankovic (71')
Feb 17, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 23
Rijeka
4-0
NK Lokomotiva
Bogojevic (9', 31'), Hodza (85'), Grgic (90+1')
Galesic (27'), Smolcic (70')

Cop (48'), Maric (54'), Canjuga (80'), Canjuga (81')
Nov 3, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 14
NK Lokomotiva
1-1
Rijeka
Tuci (27')
Mersinaj (54'), Maric (57'), Leovac (60')
Fruk (43')
Hodza (29'), Sopic (30')
Aug 20, 2023 8.05pm
Gameweek 5
Rijeka
2-1
NK Lokomotiva
Pasalic (38'), Djouahra (78')
Jakirovic (29'), Radeljic (41'), Lepinjica (57')
Bubanja (6')
Maric (28'), Mersinaj (68'), Gorican (80')