Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Lokomotiva win with a probability of 48.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 25.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Lokomotiva win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Lokomotiva would win this match.