Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Hajduk Split had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Hajduk Split win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.