Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for NK Lokomotiva had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest NK Lokomotiva win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osijek would win this match.